If you’ve searched “what is the 90% rule in trading?”, you’ve probably seen different answers. That’s because there isn’t one official rule—“90% rule” is trader shorthand that gets applied to a few ideas. Some are useful, one is a myth, and all point to the same message: manage risk, track data, and stick to a process.
In this guide we unpack the three most common meanings, show what’s true (and what isn’t), and give you a simple, actionable framework you can start applying today—ideally while journaling your trading journey in GASPNTRADER.
What Is the 90% Rule in Trading?
The term “90% rule in trading” usually refers to one of three ideas:
1) The 90-90-90 Rule (Beginner Attrition)
Claim: 90% of new traders lose 90% of their capital within 90 days.
Reality: It’s an anecdotal warning, not a scientific law. Still, broker disclosures often show a majority of retail traders lose money, especially early on. The takeaway isn’t doom—it’s that under-prepared traders who over-risk tend to churn out quickly.
Why it persists
- Overconfidence & impulse trading
- Oversized positions relative to account size
- No written plan or journal, so mistakes repeat
How to use it
- Treat 90 days as an apprenticeship phase focused on risk controls, not fast profits.
- Cap risk per trade (e.g., 0.25%–1.00%) and set a daily loss limit (e.g., 1–2%).
- Journal every trade to find patterns you can fix.
2) “90% of Options Expire Worthless” (Options Myth)
Claim: 90% of options expire worthless—so just sell options and win most of the time.
Reality: This is a myth. A large share of options are closed or rolled before expiration. “Worthless at expiration” ≠ “losing trade” for buyers, and high win rate for sellers can hide tail risk (rare but large losses).
How to use it
- If you sell options, manage tail risk: defined risk structures (spreads), hedges, and strict stop/adjust rules.
- Judge strategies by expectancy and max drawdown, not just win rate.
3) The 90/10 (Pareto-Style) Outcome Skew
Idea: A minority of trades (or time windows) can generate the majority of P&L—sometimes expressed as “90% of profits come from 10% of trades.”
Reality: It’s not a fixed ratio, but it’s directionally true for many systems: a few big winners or rare regime periods carry the curve.
How to use it
- Protect capital through flat/quiet periods so you’re around for the outlier moves.
- Let winners run within plan; cut losers fast.
Why the “90% Rule” Matters (Even If It Isn’t a Law)
- It spotlights survivorship: the market punishes over-sizing and under-preparing.
- It nudges you toward process over prediction.
- It encourages measuring expectancy and drawdown—the real drivers of staying power.
A Practical Framework: Turn “90% Rule” Into Edge
1) Define Risk First
- Risk per trade: 0.25%–1.00% of equity.
- Daily stop: 1–2% of equity or -2R, whichever hits first.
- Weekly stop: If you hit daily stop twice in a week, reduce size by 50% next week.
2) Position Sizing That Survives
- Use volatility-based size (e.g., ATR) so your stop is outside noise.
- Keep correlated positions from stacking (treat them as one big bet).
3) Trade Only Your A-Setups
- Pre-define entry, stop, target and invalidations.
- Require confluence (trend + level + trigger). No confluence? No trade.
4) Track Expectancy (Not Just Win Rate)
Expectancy formula:
E = WinRate × AvgWin − (1 − WinRate) × AvgLoss
- A system with 40% win rate can be excellent if AvgWin is ≥ 1.8× AvgLoss.
- Journal actual R-multiples to see whether the math works in your hands.
5) Review Loops That Compound Skill
- Weekly: Top 3 wins/losses, causes, fixes.
- Monthly: Setup-level stats (which tags pay?), drawdown analysis, and rule violations.
- Quarterly: Keep, tweak, or kill strategies by data.
How Trading Journal Helps You Beat the 90-90-90
Your trading journal dashboard surfaces win rate, expectancy, payoff ratio, drawdowns, streaks, and tag-level performance—so you can double down on what works.
Automate the boring parts: auto-sync positions from any broker without leaving GASPNTRADER using our AI-powered sync.
Common Mistakes to Avoid
- Sizing by feeling instead of a formula.
- Revenge trading after hitting a daily stop.
- Optimizing for win rate instead of expectancy.
- No journal, so you don’t know what to fix.
FAQ
Is the 90-90-90 rule true?
Not as a universal fact—but it’s a useful warning. New traders who over-risk and don’t measure tend to churn out quickly. Your defense is risk management + journaling.
Do 90% of options really expire worthless?
No. Many options are closed before expiration. Don’t base a strategy on a false premise. Evaluate max loss, tail risk, and expected value.
Can I “beat” the 90% rule?
Yes—by staying small, being selective, and measuring. Longevity plus data-driven iteration is the real edge.
